Function Oncology investment analysis

October 31, 2023


This is not investment advice. We used AI and automated software tools for most of this research. A human formatted the charts based on data / analysis from the software, prompted the AI to do some editing, and did some light manual editing. We did some fact checking but cannot guarantee the accuracy of everything in the article. We do not have a position in or a relationship with the company.



Overview



Function Oncology is a San Diego-based precision medicine firm. They are developing a CRISPR-powered platform to identify personalized cancer treatments. Their approach emphasizes understanding gene function rather than only relying on traditional sequencing to profile cancer.

This approach seeks to uncover therapeutic opportunities by identifying unique drug target dependencies in patient samples, addressing limitations found in conventional next-generation sequencing methods. For example, sequencing-based approaches primarily identify mutated genes with roles in cancer, while Function's approach could also identify non-mutated genes. The company test patient samples for susceptibility to every FDA approved cancer drug. They do this by designing a sgRNA library to inhibit the targets of approved cancer drugs.

Function's platform thus has potential value in identifying repurposing opportunities or expanding the use of existing cancer drugs, identifying potentially beneficial, personalized therapeutics that would otherwise have been overlooked. The platform also could be used for diagnostics, patient stratification for clinical trials, and identifying novel drug targets and developing new drugs.

In April 2023, the company secured $28 million in Series A financing led by a16z and Section 32, with participation from Casdin Capital and Alexandria Venture Investments.


Highlights and risks


Highlights

Potential to identify truly personalized cancer therapies utilizing all FDA approved drugs, not just those for patients with specific mutations

Potential to monitor which drugs may be most effective over time, as tumors change during the course of treatment and disease

Multiple potential commercial applications ranging from diagnostics, supporting targeted clinical trials, repurposing and expanding indications of existing drugs, and developing novel drugs

Potential to generate proprietary data set with significant strategic value

Opportunity for near-term value creation (pharma partnerships) as well as significant long-term value (in-house drug development)

Risks

Expensive platform buildouts prior to identifying potential products can delay value inflection and make early capital highly dilutive

Platform subject to meaningful technical risk

Reimbursement for precision diagnostics can be challenging to obtain

Target identification platforms operate at the earliest-stage of drug discovery and thus are highly risky


Valuation


Given the early stage of the company and limited information about its programs, we did not conduct a valuation analysis.


Platform overview


Function's platform utilizes a CRISPR-powered personalized functional genomics platform, aiming to provide a more patient-specific and detailed profile of cancer.

By using CRISPR/Cas9 to screen for gene dependencies on drug targets, this platform directly assesses how silencing certain genes impacts tumor cell survival or proliferation. Thus, if a tumor cell shows a dependency on a gene targeted by a particular drug, it suggests the tumor may be sensitive to that drug.

The Fx Heme library targets genes of all FDA-approved oncology drugs. This provides a broad overview, potentially highlighting responses to drugs not traditionally associated with a particular cancer type. This approach could also be used for other types of cancer.

Key features include:


Case study in AML


While limited detail on the platform is available, we can deduce some information from their abstract at AACR 2023. This abstract describes use of the platform to predict clinical response to sorafenib. Given that current AML treatments primarily depend on genomic profiling for molecular lesions, such as the FLT3 mutation, which only partially stratifies the target patient group, there's a clear need for a more personalized approach.

To fill this gap, Function Oncology's platform uses CRISPR/Cas9 technology to systematically characterize gene dependency on drug targets. In their method:

Amplicon sequencing refers to the targeted sequencing of specific regions of the genome, in this case, the DNA barcodes associated with each sgRNA. The process involves designing PCR primers to amplify (i.e., create many copies of) these specific DNA regions so that they can be sequenced in depth. By doing so, one can identify and quantify specific genetic elements of interest in a sample.

As cells grow, proliferate, or die in culture, the relative abundance of different sgRNAs in the population will change. If an sgRNA targets a gene that's essential for the AML cells' survival, then cells transduced with that sgRNA will likely die off. As a result, the abundance of that sgRNA's barcode will decrease in subsequent analyses. Conversely, if an sgRNA targets a gene that, when knocked out, gives the AML cells a growth advantage or makes them resistant to a drug, then cells with that sgRNA might proliferate more than others. This would lead to an increase in the abundance of that particular sgRNA's barcode.

The platform's efficacy was evaluated using samples from AML patients who underwent treatment combining the tyrosine kinase inhibitor sorafenib with chemotherapy. From the study of 22 AML patients, the Fx Heme platform showed promising results in predicting clinical outcomes, with 78.6% sensitivity, 87.5% specificity, and 91.7% PPV (Positive Predictive Value). This performance surpassed the stratification based solely on the FLT3 mutation.


Platform in-depth


Below is more detail on the platform, using their AML program as an example:

The most complex and costly steps are likely the creation and maintenance of the custom sgRNA library, the lentiviral transduction process, and the amplicon sequencing. The bioinformatics analysis is also a critical component, and errors here can invalidate all prior work. Scaling the platform may face challenges, particularly when handling a large number of primary patient samples or increasing the breadth of the sgRNA library.


Potential applications


At its core, the technology provides a method for identifying which drugs could target an individual's tumor. Broadening beyond AML, this can pave the way for truly personalized cancer treatments across a wide variety of cancer types, moving from one-size-fits-all or even mutation-specific treatments to individualized therapy plans based on a tumor's specific gene dependencies. In addition to identifying new therapeutic targets, the platform can also be useful for drug repurposing and developing combination therapies. There are also applications in companion diagnostics, treatment monitoring and adaptive therapies, and clinical trial design.


Predicting response to drugs


Function's platform has the potential to predict which drugs a patient's tumor is likely to respond to. The platform is designed to assess how various drugs would impact tumor cell survival or proliferation, by silencing the genes that express the drug's target (which essentially imitates the effect of inhibiting a target). Thus, if a tumor cell shows a dependency on a gene targeted by a particular drug, it suggests the tumor may be sensitive to that drug.

The Fx Heme library (and presumably other libraries developed by the company) targets genes of all FDA-approved oncology drugs. This provides a broad overview, potentially highlighting responses to drugs not traditionally associated with a particular cancer type.

Several other current and past companies have products for predicting which drugs a tumor will respond.

Current solutions for predicting tumor response include:

The potential advantages of Function's solution include:


Commercial opportunity: predicting response to drugs

Tools that predict drug-tumor response play an increasingly vital role in precision oncology, but their commercial model faces multifaceted challenges and opportunities.

Reimbursement for diagnostic tests or tools in oncology, especially those involving genomics or advanced technologies, can be challenging. Insurers, including government programs like Medicare, are typically conservative in adopting new technologies. They need substantial evidence of clinical utility. The reimbursement landscape can vary by region, payer, and even from one patient population to another. This can make it challenging for providers to know whether they'll be reimbursed for a given test or tool.

To secure reimbursement, companies must demonstrate the clinical utility of their tool, meaning they have to show that the test provides information that can guide and improve patient outcomes. This includes generating evidence from well-designed clinical trials that show patients managed with the tool have better outcomes (e.g., response rate, progression-free survival) than those managed without it. In addition to clinical trials, payers often look at real-world evidence, including case studies, retrospective analyses, and observational studies that show the tool's effectiveness in a "real-world" clinical setting.

Tools must also be cost-effective, demonstrating that the tool, even if it is expensive, can lead to overall cost savings by ensuring patients receive the most effective treatment up front, thereby potentially avoiding costlier interventions later.

These studies can be costly and time consuming, and there is some risk that the study's results do not support use of the test.

Pricing strategies for these tools can vary widely based on several factors:

Examples of tools in this space include the Oncotype DX for certain breast cancers, which helps predict the benefit of chemotherapy and the risk of recurrence, and FoundationOne CDx, a comprehensive genomic profiling test for all solid tumors. Their pricing varies, with comprehensive tests typically being more expensive, often reaching several thousand dollars. However, the exact price can depend on negotiated rates with payers and other factors. Guardant Health expects to generate $550M in 2023 revenue, of which Guardant360 is a large part.


Reimbursement

Securing reimbursement from Medicare for a diagnostic test involves demonstrating both clinical utility and clinical validity.

Here's a breakdown of the studies and data that Function Oncology might need to consider for Medicare reimbursement for its Fx Heme test (this could apply to other cancers as well):

Tests like FoundationOne CDx and Guardant360 are used to guide treatment decisions in oncology, and their reimbursement challenges can offer lessons. Clinical utility – proving that the test results in better patient outcomes – has historically been a sticking point for many diagnostics. Both of these tests have secured reimbursement after extensive data collection and demonstrations of clinical utility.

Additionally, with the rise of precision medicine, the field has been moving towards "value-based" reimbursement. This might mean that tests like Fx Heme need to provide ongoing evidence of their value to continue securing reimbursement.

Both FoundationOne CDx and Guardant360 faced challenges in securing reimbursement, but their successful navigation of this process provides valuable insights.


Improving clinical trial design


Patient stratification for clinical trials is a method of categorizing patients into subgroups based on specific criteria or biomarkers. This approach aims to identify the individuals most likely to benefit from a particular treatment. By using a technology like Function Oncology's CRISPR-enabled functional genomics profiling platform, patient stratification can be greatly refined.

Patient stratification in clinical trials represents a significant market opportunity within the drug development industry. As pharmaceutical companies seek to improve the efficiency and success rates of their clinical trials, providers that can offer effective stratification solutions will be well-positioned to capture a growing market segment.

Pharma companies often form partnerships with biotech firms or service providers like Function to leverage their advanced technologies for patient stratification. These partnerships can be structured as licensing agreements, where the pharma company gets access to the technology, or as collaborative research agreements.

Given the high-risk nature of drug development, many agreements are milestone-based. Providers may receive payments upon achieving specific milestones, such as successful patient identification, progression to the next phase of trials, or final drug approval. In some cases, large pharma companies might take an equity stake in smaller biotech firms, effectively betting on the success of their stratification technology and the associated drug pipeline.

Global pharmaceutical R&D expenditure was continuously rising, with estimates putting it at over $180 billion annually. Much of this is directed at oncology. With increasing interest in personalized medicine and targeted therapies, a substantial portion of this amount will likely be directed towards technologies facilitating patient stratification.

The number of registered clinical trials has been increasing year-over-year, with thousands of new trials initiated annually. If even a fraction of these trials adopt advanced stratification techniques, the market potential is vast.

A majority of clinical trials do not reach the market, often due to lack of efficacy. Improved patient stratification can enhance the success rate, making investment in this area a priority for many pharmaceutical companies.

There are several companies that have successfully built products and services around improved patient stratification for oncology trials. Some of these companies have developed platforms that leverage genomic, transcriptomic, proteomic, or other omic data to identify patient subsets most likely to benefit from specific therapies:


Drug repurposing


Function Oncology's CRISPR-enabled functional genomics profiling platform offers a promising avenue for drug repurposing or expanding the use of existing cancer drugs.

Utilizing CRISPR/Cas9 technology, this platform offers an unbiased evaluation of gene dependencies across various cancer types. Instead of just focusing on mutations traditionally associated with specific cancers, this platform can shed light on a broader array of gene dependencies, potentially uncovering new targets for existing treatments.

As the platform identifies gene dependencies not traditionally linked with specific cancers, there's a potential to discover new applications for existing drugs. If a gene, traditionally associated with one cancer type, emerges as a dependency in another, existing treatments might find new applicability.

The platform's ability to reveal cases with dependencies on multiple drug targets offers an opportunity to strategize combination therapies. Addressing multiple dependencies concurrently might enhance therapeutic efficacy.

The platform can be used to help pharma companies identify repurposing opportunities and to enable Function to develop its own repurposed therapies.


Developing novel cancer therapeutics


Function's platform offers a promising approach to identifying gene dependencies in acute myeloid leukemia (AML) cells. By comprehensively assessing the effects of knocking out genes corresponding to all FDA-approved oncology drug targets, the platform seeks to identify genes that, when inhibited, can have a therapeutic effect on AML (as well as other cancers).

Genomic studies, such as The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA), have identified numerous genetic alterations in various cancers. However, only a fraction of these have translated into actionable drug targets. Genomic information alone sometimes lacks the functional context necessary to determine which mutations are drivers of the disease and which are mere passengers.

Techniques like RNA interference (RNAi) have previously been used for large-scale functional screens. While they've identified potential targets, RNAi has limitations, such as off-target effects, that can complicate results. CRISPR/Cas9 offers a more specific and efficient alternative, but it too is not without challenges, including potential off-target edits and cellular compensatory mechanisms.

Some large-scale genomic and functional platforms have yielded actionable insights and drug candidates. For instance, RNAi screens have contributed to the understanding of essential genes in cancer cells. However, many identified targets have not yet resulted in FDA-approved drugs, highlighting the complexity of translating basic research into clinical applications.

The easiest way to build DCF models

Build robust biotech valuation models in the browser. Then download a fully built excel model, customized with your inputs.









You may also like...

Biotech IPO tracker

The top biotech VCs

Analyzing performance of Series A VCs

Valuations of biotech startups from Series A to IPO

Bay Bridge Bio Startup Database

How to value biotech companies