Invea Therapeutics IPO investment analysis

January 30, 2024


This is not investment advice. We used AI and automated software tools for most of this research. A human formatted the charts based on data / analysis from the software, prompted the AI to do some editing, and did some light manual editing. We did some fact checking but cannot guarantee the accuracy of everything in the article. We do not have a position in or an ongoing business relationship with the company.


Invea Therapeutics is a biotech company specializing in the development of oral small molecule therapeutics for immune-mediated inflammatory diseases (IMIDs). Leveraging artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) alongside deep expertise, Invea aims to unlock novel treatment pathways by understanding the complex mechanisms driving inflammation in IMIDs. The company's portfolio includes INVA8001, set for Phase 2b clinical trials, and INVA8003, in early preclinical development.

INVA8001, in-licensed from Daiichi Sankyo Company, targets chymase, a crucial mediator of inflammation, to treat conditions like atopic dermatitis (AD) and chronic urticaria (CU). Despite a previous Phase 2 trial by Daiichi not meeting its primary efficacy endpoint, Invea plans a redesigned trial with hopes of addressing past limitations.

INVA8001 stands out clinically due to its highly selective inhibition of chymase, offering a potential new approach to treating inflammation and related tissue damage. This specificity could lead to fewer side effects and improved efficacy compared to broader-acting treatments. The scientific rationale for targeting chymase is supported by evidence linking it to various pathological processes in inflammatory diseases, including fibrosis and epithelial barrier dysfunction.

INVA8003's differentiation lies in its multi-inflammasome inhibition capability, targeting a broad range of pro-inflammatory markers, which could make it a versatile therapeutic option across multiple IMIDs.


Product nameModalityTargetIndicationDiscoveryPreclinicalPhase 1Phase 2Phase 3FDA submissionCommercial
INVA8001 Small molecule Chymase Inhibitor Atopic dermatitis





INVA8001 Small molecule Chymase Inhibitor Chronic urticaria



INVA8003 Small molecule Apoptosis-associated speck-like protein containing a caspase and activation domain (ASC) Inhibitor Immunological diseases with approved biologic but no oral therapy




Risks and highlights


Highlights

Involvement of mast cells in AD and CU is well-established

Chymase's role in inflammation has been demonstrated in other conditions

Targeting large markets with meaningful unmet needs

Risks

Limited evidence directly supporting role of chymase in AD and CU

AD is a competitive indication and products must show strong differentiation to gain commercial traction

Evidence supporting targeting of ASCs is still emerging


Valuation


We estimate the last private round valued the company at $71M. We estimated an IPO pricing range of $110-175 million. Due to the early-stage nature of the company, we did not conduct a DCF analysis or M&A comps analysis.


INVA8001


Scientific background

Atopic dermatitis (AD) and Chronic urticaria (CU) are chronic inflammatory skin disorders with complex pathophysiologies. Both conditions involve dysregulated immune responses, but they are distinct in their clinical presentations and underlying mechanisms. The therapeutic rationale for a Chymase inhibitor in treating these conditions lies in the enzyme's role within the inflammatory cascade and its effect on tissue remodeling and pruritus, which are key aspects of both diseases.

In conclusion, the therapeutic rationale for using a Chymase inhibitor in Atopic Dermatitis and Chronic Urticaria is rooted in the enzyme's central role in mediating inflammation, tissue remodeling, vascular changes, and pruritus. By targeting Chymase, it may be possible to address multiple pathological processes simultaneously, offering a potentially effective treatment strategy for these challenging dermatological conditions.

The science supporting the rationale for Chymase inhibitors in Atopic Dermatitis (AD) and Chronic Urticaria (CU) spans from well-established concepts to emerging hypotheses that are still the subject of ongoing research. Here’s a breakdown considering the established science, areas of uncertainty or debate, and the overall level of evidence:

In summary, while the involvement of mast cells and chymase in AD and CU is supported by a significant body of evidence, many key aspects are still under investigation. The complexity of these diseases and their multifactorial nature mean that further research, including clinical trials specifically targeting chymase, is necessary to fully establish the therapeutic value of chymase inhibitors in these conditions.

As of the last update and within the constraints of available literature up to early 2023, direct, specific studies focusing on chymase’s role in Atopic Dermatitis (AD) and Chronic Urticaria (CU) are relatively scarce, and much of the understanding comes from broader research on mast cells' role in these conditions and chymase's functions in other related pathological processes. However, a few pieces of literature and studies give indirect or related insights into how chymase could be implicated in the pathology of AD and CU.

In conclusion, while direct evidence linking chymase specifically to AD and CU is limited, its known roles in mediating inflammatory responses, tissue remodeling, and pruritus—central features of these conditions—provide a strong rationale for considering it a therapeutic target. The connection is primarily inferred from chymase's broader biological activities and the pivotal role of mast cells in these dermatological diseases. Further targeted research and clinical trials focusing on chymase's inhibition in AD and CU specifically are necessary to fully elucidate its potential benefits.

The therapeutic rationale for targeting chymase in Atopic Dermatitis (AD) and Chronic Urticaria (CU) is premised on the enzyme's role in inflammatory pathways, tissue remodeling, and pruritus, among others. Below, we'll discuss the strengths and weaknesses of the evidence base supporting this rationale.

Strengths:

Weaknesses:

Conclusion:

While there is a compelling theoretical and biological rationale for targeting chymase in AD and CU, the direct evidence base remains thin, underscoring the need for more targeted research. Specifically, well-designed clinical trials are crucial to substantiating chymase's role and determining the true therapeutic potential of its inhibitors. The current state of the evidence reflects a classic scenario in drug development, where promising preclinical findings await validation in the clinical setting.


Market overview


Atopic dermatitis

Atopic Dermatitis (AD), often referred to as eczema, is a chronic inflammatory skin condition that is characterized by itchy and inflamed patches on the skin. Its pathology, symptoms, and prognosis can be broadly understood as follows:

The market opportunity for a novel therapeutic like INVA8001 in Atopic Dermatitis (AD) appears significant, given the limitations of current treatments, ongoing unmet medical needs, and a growing patient population. An analysis of existing successful drugs, the standard of care, and unmet needs reveals the potential landscape for INVA8001.

Chronic urticaria

Chronic urticaria, also known as chronic hives, is a condition characterized by the development of hives (urticaria), which are red, itchy welts on the skin that last for six weeks or longer. This condition can be frustrating and debilitating for patients, affecting their quality of life. To understand chronic urticaria better, we'll explore its pathology, symptoms, diagnosis, treatment options, and prognosis.

Understanding and management of chronic urticaria, promising better outcomes for patients in the future. The market opportunity for a novel drug such as INVA8001 in chronic urticaria could be significant given the disease's impact on patients and the limitations of current treatments. Understanding the competitive landscape, standard of care, and unmet medical needs is crucial to evaluate INVA8001's potential market position.

In the evolving landscape of chronic urticaria treatment, several promising therapies are under development that could present competition for INVA8001, depending on its mechanism of action, efficacy, safety, and cost. These emerging treatments aim to address the limitations of current therapies and meet the significant unmet needs of patients with chronic urticaria. Below is an overview of such potential competitors, highlighting their unique approaches and current status in clinical development.

Given the complexity and variability in the presentation and treatment response of chronic urticaria, there is a vast landscape for developing new therapies. For INVA8001 to stand out among these emerging treatments, it will need to demonstrate clear advantages in terms of efficacy, safety, dosing convenience, and cost-effectiveness. Additionally, the ability of INVA8001 to address specific subtypes of chronic urticaria or to be effective in patients refractory to current standard treatments could significantly influence its competitive position in the market.

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INVA8003


Scientific background

Inhibitor of Apoptosis (IAP)-associated speck-like protein containing a CARD (caspase activation and recruitment domain), abbreviated as ASC, plays a crucial role in the assembly of inflammasomes. Inflammasomes are intracellular multiprotein complexes that play a central role in the innate immune system by activating inflammatory responses. The therapeutic rationale for targeting ASC in immunological diseases, particularly those with approved biologic treatments but lacking oral therapies, stems from the pivotal role of inflammasomes in the pathogenesis of these conditions.

Inflammasomes can initiate the activation of caspase-1, which in turn promotes the maturation and secretion of pro-inflammatory cytokines, such as interleukin-1 beta (IL-1β) and IL-18. These cytokines are critical mediators of inflammation and are involved in the development and progression of various immunologic diseases, including rheumatoid arthritis, psoriasis, Crohn's disease, and more. Consequently, the dysregulation of inflammasome activity can lead to excessive or prolonged inflammation, contributing to tissue damage and disease pathology.

Targeting ASC offers a therapeutic approach by potentially inhibiting the assembly and activation of inflammasomes. This, in turn, could reduce the production of pro-inflammatory cytokines, alleviating inflammation and its associated symptoms in immunological diseases. The main advantages of developing an oral ASC inhibitor as a therapeutic option include:

In conclusion, targeting ASC in the development of oral therapies for immunological diseases represents a promising approach based on the central role of inflammasomes in inflammation. It holds the potential to complement or offer alternatives to existing biologic therapies, addressing unmet needs in the management of these conditions. Further research and clinical trials are essential to confirm the efficacy and safety of such therapies and to better understand their place in the treatment landscape of immunological diseases.

The science behind the role of inflammasomes, and specifically the involvement of the Apoptosis-associated Speck-like protein containing a CARD (ASC), in inflammation and immune response is well-established. However, translating this knowledge into effective, targeted therapies, such as oral inhibitors of ASC for the treatment of immunological diseases, is an area of ongoing research and development.

Established Science:

Areas of Uncertainty or Debate:

Overall Level of Evidence:

The understanding of inflammasomes and ASC’s role in inflammation is supported by a robust level of evidence from basic research and preclinical studies. However, the development of targeted therapies and particularly oral inhibitors of ASC for immunological diseases is still in the early stages. The efficacy, safety, and clinical utility of such treatments remain to be fully validated through clinical trials.

Conclusion:

While the underlying science supporting the targeting of ASC in immunologic diseases is strong, the translation to effective clinical therapies involves overcoming numerous challenges and uncertainties. Ongoing research and clinical trials will be crucial in validating the therapeutic potential of ASC inhibitors and establishing their role in the treatment landscape for immunological diseases. The scientific community remains cautiously optimistic, given the promising rationale and the potential for addressing unmet medical needs with novel oral therapies.


Market overview


Immunological diseases with approved biologic but no oral therapy

Immunological diseases cover a wide spectrum, including autoimmune diseases, inflammatory diseases, and several types of immunodeficiency disorders. Many have approved biologic treatments, which are large, complex proteins produced using living cells and designed to target specific parts of the immune system. However, not all have convenient oral therapies, which can be a significant limitation for some patients. Below, I will outline a few key immunological diseases with approved biologic therapies but no oral therapy, focusing on pathology, symptoms, and prognosis.

Rheumatoid Arthritis (RA)

Psoriasis and Psoriatic Arthritis

Crohn’s Disease and Ulcerative Colitis (Inflammatory Bowel Diseases)

For many immunological diseases, the development of biologics has been a significant advance, offering hope to patients with conditions that were previously difficult to manage. However, the need for non-oral administration (such as injections or infusions) is a limitation, affecting compliance and quality of life. The development of oral biologic treatments could represent the next frontier in improving therapy for these conditions, offering more convenience and potentially increasing adherence to treatment plans.

Research is ongoing, and the landscape of treatment options may change in the future. Advances in drug formulation and delivery systems may eventually make oral therapies a viable option for diseases currently treated with injectables or infusions only.

Current Standard of Care

The standard of care for many immunological diseases currently involves the use of biologic therapies. These include but are not limited to TNF inhibitors (e.g., adalimumab, infliximab), interleukin inhibitors (e.g., ustekinumab), and integrin inhibitors (e.g., vedolizumab) for diseases like Rheumatoid Arthritis, Psoriasis, Psoriatic Arthritis, and Inflammatory Bowel Disease (Crohn’s Disease and Ulcerative Colitis). These treatments are administered via injections or infusions, presenting challenges in terms of patient compliance, discomfort, and the need for administration by healthcare professionals.

Unmet Medical Need

There is a significant unmet need for therapies that can be administered orally. Oral therapies can greatly enhance patient compliance, reduce the burden on healthcare facilities, and improve the overall quality of life for patients. The inconvenience and discomfort associated with injectable biologics often lead to adherence issues, directly impacting the effectiveness of treatment regimens. Moreover, the development of oral formulations could potentially reduce the cost associated with drug administration.

Successful Drugs in the Indication

Drugs like adalimumab and infliximab have been highly successful in the market, generating billions in sales, largely due to their effectiveness in controlling symptoms and modifying disease progression. However, their success also highlights the market potential for an innovative oral therapy that could offer similar benefits without the drawbacks of injections or infusions.

Market Opportunity for INVA8003

INVA8003 stands at the precipice of a significant market opportunity within the realm of immunological diseases. By addressing unmet medical needs through innovative delivery and maintaining high standards of efficacy and safety, INVA8003 could redefine standard care practices. The success of existing biologics sets a high bar, yet also indicates a readiness in the market for advancements in treatment approaches. Market acceptability will hinge on INVA8003's clinical outcomes, patient and healthcare provider education, and accessibility of the drug. Comprehensive market strategies emphasizing the benefits of oral administration, alongside robust clinical data, will be crucial in capturing and capitalizing on this opportunity.

Given the lack of specific details provided about INVA8003, including its mechanism of action, target disease indications, and clinical study results, we will hypothesize its potential place in the standard of care based on the prevailing trends and unmet needs in the treatment of immunological diseases. Our analysis assumes that INVA8003 is an oral therapy with efficacy and safety profiles comparable to existing biologic therapies, yet offering the convenience and patient compliance benefits associated with oral administration.

Potential Impact on Standard of Care

If INVA8003 is positioned as an oral therapy for immunological diseases currently treated with injectable or infusible biologics, it holds the potential to significantly alter the treatment landscape. By addressing key unmet needs such as ease of administration and patient compliance, INVA8003 could find a prominent place within the standard of care. However,









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